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by mrmgrady from South St. Louis City

Last Post 27 days, 21 hours Ago


TS BERTHA
Jul 5, 2008 | 10:54 AM
Category: Weather
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Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Track Forecast Cone

Click image to zoom in – Turn track off [Image of 5-day forecast of predicted track, and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]

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Member Comments Total Comments: 5
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Peagcu read my blog
Jul 5, 2008 | 4:49 PM

Could be a looker for the mid to upper Atlantic coast.
BRTNWXMAN read my blog view my photos
Jul 6, 2008 | 4:55 PM

Thanks for the tropical post Mr. Grady! We'll have to see how the ridge building across the Eastern US/Western Atlantic, and the frontal system/s coming across the Midwest affects this once it nears. I have a feeling the ridge will keep it South, and the front will allow it to curve N/NE once it catches up to it. I'm thinking the FL/GA/SC coasts are prime for this, but it could even make it into the Eastern Gulf if it plays it's cards right. The JMA and UKMET show the Southern route so far. It's a LONG way out right now though!
mrmgrady read my blog view my photos
Jul 7, 2008 | 12:50 PM

she's now a hurricane!


000
WTNT32 KNHC 071455
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 18...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
1100 AM AST MON JUL 07 2008

...CORRECTED PRESSURE...

...BERTHA STRENGTHENS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...COULD REACH
CATEGORY TWO INTENSITY LATER TODAY...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.3 WEST OR ABOUT 775 MILES...
1250 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR.
A GRADUAL TURN TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST WITH A REDUCTION IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND BERTHA COULD BECOME A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE LATER
TODAY OR TONIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...19.6 N...51.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME
Peagcu read my blog
Jul 7, 2008 | 11:50 PM

Well BRTN this looks like it's gonna just disappear into the mid Atlantic now. Ocean that is.
BRTNWXMAN read my blog view my photos
Jul 10, 2008 | 2:38 PM

Well this one certainly didn't turn out like I had thought! Forecasting tropical systems is tough, it's like predicting a game of Plinko... They are infinitely interesting though.
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mrmgrady

My new avitar is of my cat, "Max." I work in the insurance industry, but I am interested in healthcare, (I worked as an EMT for St. Louis EMS from 1984-1989 and was in the field for over 10 years) social welfare issues, (I have a bachelor's degree in Social Work from UMSL) politics, religions of all sorts and racial and cultural relations. I have a new cat named "Max" whom I picked up from the animal shelter. He is a younger version of "Socks" my old cat. I enjoy Classical and Jazz Music, although I cannot read music nor play any instrument. I love baseball, but I am not athletic. I love to watch the weather and even watch the NOAA weather radars while at work. Weather is sort of a hobby of mine. I am a "healthy skeptic" when it comes to politicians and all things political.

Member Since: 9/15/2006


 

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