Doppler's Blog

Alright i tired of no one stepping up and writting a post about the weather so im going to give it a try.......  So here we go.......  To start things off  Monday is expected to be a good 20* warmer than mother's day which was down right nasty to be outside in.  All thinks to that big ol' low pressure system departing off to the northeast. As the suface ridge moves out of the area  a more Southeastly wind will develop and transport warmer temperatures into the region.  Tuesday another bowling ball type storm system begins to take shape in the plains and move to the northeast dragging a cold front  southeast across the area.  Numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop and move into the area from the west.  Super cells are expected to be the storm mode Initially for western portions of MO and then turn more linear and is expected to move eastward through the region late tuesday night and early Wednesday morning.  These storms should be in the weaking stage as they approch the region however still can't rule out isolated severe storms within the line exspeacially from St. Louis points south and west where the SPC has issued a slight risk for severe thunderstorms.  Im not excited about this storm at all because as dave said the atmosphere is pretty zapped from the weekend storm. Never the less its still something to watch as the system approches us. Rainfall with this system should be in the 1-2" range with locally higher amounts possible.  After this storm moves out expect mostly cloudy skies and cooler temperatures for the rest of the week.   

So all you weather bloggers lets get back on track and start doing what we do best and thats talkin bout the weather.......

Severe weather to threaten the Midwest again as an impressive storm takes aim on the central states.  This storm will basically be a cut off low. That means the low track will be in the great lakes region which for us means warm sector. Which in the end will spell thunderstorms with the possibility of some of those turning severe.  Most of the ingredients are coming together for a fairly good size severe wx event. Good veering of the winds, dew points, and strong cold front will be the focusing magnesium for convection which could be severe.  There is however one thing that will be lacking and that’s the gulf moisture.  It really hasn’t had time to recharge itself but there will be some moisture working itself into this strong storm system…..  The main threats will be large hail, damaging winds, and of coarse can’t rule out isolated tornadoes in the early stages of the event before the storm mode turns into a linear mode with an impressive squall line racing across the region along a fast approaching cold front. Not real worried about the potential for flooding due to the nature of the storms (fast movers). Maybe some flash flooding, but no long term event. Prime time for severe weather across the region is 10am through 7pm on Friday.  Now there is still some question on the destabilization of the atmosphere on Friday.  The past two severe weather threats have been busts due to early morning convection hanging around and not allowing the sun to come out. This scenario could in fact happen again. However if we can get that sun out then we’ll be in business.  Might be a good day for some storm chasing.  As of now the SPC still has us in a slight risk area, hopefully it upgraded to a moderate risk. Comments are welcomed. More on this event later.

Colder air has returned as everyone most likely noticed as winter has returned for a couple of weeks....  There are two features to look for this week:

1. The storm system that will affect the region Wednesday night and Thursday. How much snow and where?????

2. The big artic release on Friday?????

The storm system will most likely dump a good 2-5 inches of snow across the region with locally heavier amounts as the low moves across the region.  Will make adjustments as the system pulls itself together and moves closer.

After the snow the artic cold front from canada will sweep across the region early friday dropping our temperatures a good 10* below average. With highs in the lower 20s and lows in the 7* to 12* range.

How much snow does everyone  think we will get?  This will be covered in Chris's Corner on Monday.

The good ol' weather pipeline has several little impulses/weak storm systems in line for us the one today, Saturday/Sunday and maybe monday night........ Saturday night and sunday will bring a touch of snow and rain to the region then all goes quite.  Monday night we might get some ice/snow little to nothing to worry about.  However with the colder temps and stormy weather expected to contiune through next week towards the end of the week maybe weekend there might be a winter storm in the mix (maybe).  Something to look forward to. Oh BTW took a look at morethanweather.com (Chris's site) really cool stuff I really encourage everyone to check it out........

Forecast:

Short term: Showers/rain will be ending this evening.  Colder air to filter in behind  the departing low. low around 31.  Friday will be more seasonal with temps in the lower 40's with a partly sunny sky.

Weekend:  Cloudy/ Snow/rain Saturday night./Sunday high in the upper 30's and lows around 28.

January has been an interesting month already with sub-degree weather in the beginning of last week to record breaking temperatures in the 70's this week.  With that said its all about the warm moist air surgeing northward from the gulf. Temperatures throughout the region are in the upper 60's to the lower 70's and coupled with a storng cold front in January that usually means severe weather. Which is the case.......... Tornado watch has already been issued for Central MO. Super cell thunderstorms are fireing ahead of the potent cold front moving west to east.  That means in time those storms could impact the region later tonight. The main threats are damaging winds, large hail, and a few tornadoes. Wind profiles are storng enough to support rotating thunderstorms so it is important to watch the weather closely this evening and tonight.  I'm thinking that most of the region will be spared the severe wx til about mid-night.  Stay up to date with the fox2 weather team:)

Forecast:

Tonight- Thunderstorms some could be severe.... with tornadoes mainly west of the Missip. river. Low in the upper 50's

Tuesday- Rain/Storms some severe in south central IL. Temperatures falling in the afternoon.

Keep abreast of  the lastest weather news. Just because it's winter does not mean these storms will not be as severe as a spring type severe wx outbreak.

Hello everyone, the storm system  that has caused a blog rush about snow is almost here!!  And it could bring the first snow of the season depending on where you are.  The potent cold front with the cutter low will arrive late tonight bringing a round of showers and possibly a thunderstorm to the area.  Afterwards a secondary low is expected to develope and quickly move along the cold front across the Ohio Valley region. If all goes to plan like I think it will; rain will be ongoing on Wednesday and Wednesday night with temperatures falling out of the 50's to the 40's.  As we move into the evening hours between 10pm and 12am the rain should begin transitioning into sleet in the STL metro area. And finally ending as wet BIG sloppy snow flakes with possibly a dusting in the STL metro area. However further east and south towards salem rain should switch to sleet and snow between 1am and 3am. So with that said what about Thanksgiving? Here's my revised forecast for the STL area and Salem area.

Tonight-  Showers and possibly a thunderstorm mainly aftermid night low 55-58 degrees.

Wed- Rain likely high in the mid to upper 50's with falling temperatures into the 40's with a strong North to Northwest wind. *Rain may change to snow in the late afternoon hours in NE MO and West Central IL.

Wed night- Rain then rain/sleet after 10pm in the STL metro area then snow after 1am low around the freezing mark. For salem, Rain then rain/sleet after 1am then snow after 3am. low around the freezing mark.

Thanksgiving:) Mostly cloudy with a chance of a couple of snow showers ending in the morning. Otherwise expect cold temperatures with flurries or drizzle. High in the upper 30's

Thursday night- Cold low in the mid 20's

Hopefully everyone will get a dusting on the ground for thanksgiving.  However people to the North and West of STL will experienance travel headaches. It will be a fun storm system to watch unfold.  HAVE A GREAT THANKSGIVING!!!!

Well all the talk of snow on thanksgiving has went down quite a bit.  With the cold air arriveing too late.  However theres still a chance for some back side snow with this storm system. So with that said heres the forecast:

Wednesday: Cloudy with rain high around 50 degrees

Wednesday night: Rain in the early evening with falling temps; with a chance of the rain changing to light snow before it exits the region. low around the freezing mark.

Thanksgiving: Cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy high of 40

Thursday night: Cold low around 20

Friday/Saturday: Highs in the upper 30's to lower 40's. Lows in the mid to upper 20's

So theres still a slight chance for snow happening on Wednesday night or very early Thanksgiving morning. Hopefully theres a rush of artic air that throws the rainy forecast into a more of a snowy forecast.  Remember theres still a ways to go with this storm.

Does anyone believe that it will snow on thanksgiving night or Friday of next week?  Don't want to jump the gun but this one is looking like a fairly impressive storm. I'm open for ideas for discussion. I'll post later this week. Thanks.

Can you possibliy believe I'm writting a blog about the first snow of the season and its only november 1st.  Well if you don't believe it think a again.  I'm half and half on this developing weather sitution for its a little to early to nail it down if there will truley be enough cold and moisture.  However with the arrival of the artic cold front next week it will drop our temperatures into the 50's day mid to upper 30's night. Afterwards the following weekend there will be another cold front possibliy early in the week with the low pressure system stated below, will drop our temperatures in the lower 40's day and mid 20's night. With that in mind I'm going on a limb and saying with the help of accuweather.com a low pressure system will develop rather it be a alberta clipper or an actual southern low pressure system ridding a cold front will fight the cold air in place and hopefully it will pull enough moisture northward for snow.  Accuweather has the system and snow hitting Monday November 12 through Tuesday night November 13th.  Hopefully this event will happen, at this time I'll put a 40% chance of snow between the days of the 12th and 13th.

Anyone else have any thoughs about this possble snowfall on the 12th and 13th?

Hellow everyone, its been a while.  Finally some sizable news to talk about as far as the weather is concerned.  Deeping low pressure system will reallly begin to take hold over the midwest.  Series of shortwaves will be brought into the region by this low and a strong jet.  Rounds of storms are expected, starting wednesday night and contiuning into thursday.  Still not convenced on a severe weather outbreak for our area wedsenday night however i can't rule it out for the fact that there's a strong wind profile developing across the region exspeacially on thursday.  So expect strong to possibily severe thunderstorms to affect the area wedsenday night and as thursday afternoon rolls around the final shot at storms will arrive with a storng cold front pushing into  a warm moist and very unstable atmosphere.  That bring us to the moderate severe weather threat for thursday; large hail damaging winds and yes; the possiblity is there for some tornadoes.

Stay alert to later forecast!

Wedsenday night- Showers and thunderstorms likely some strong to severe low around 64

Thursday- Brief break in the storms untill the afternoon then showers and thunderstorms likely with the threat of severe weather running high. Large hail damaging winds and tornadoes high around 80.

Looking forward to this storm system for it may bring some much needed rain.

Finally, some moisture flowing from the gulf of Mexico to our area. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to become more widespread throughout the area tonight. Potentially some heavy rain may occur with the stronger storms.  Rain is in the forecast for the next 3 or 4 days. I'm asking everyone to post their rainfall amounts for their area; just to see who gets the most, throughout this rain event. Temperatures will be in the low to mid 80's each day. So enjoy the finally rainy and cooler weather.

Well yet another cold front passes the bi-state region and drops little to no rain on Salem. And the 7-day outlook contiunes to state the same thing over and over again no rain!  Question to everyone, when were in a drought does that mean an early fall or trees dropping their leaves faster than normal?

One awesome  side to this cold front that passed is the noticeable temperature change. Temperatures are expected to stay in the mid 80's through the weekend. We will start to warm slowly next week back in to the 90's.

Awsome weather conditions this weekend so get out and enjoy it!!

Good afternoon everyone!  That last storm system actually brought some rain to parts of the region, with .30 of an inch reported here in salem. Little more to the north and west as severe storms developed and moved northeast across parts of Bond, Fayett, Clinton, and Northern parts of Marion. Still we need a lot more rain!  Thoughts of the heat wave ending for good (hopefully) with this next storm system. Pretty nice cool shot coming from upper plains and Canada. Should drop our temperatures to the lower 80's by the end of the week and lows in the upper 50's and lower 60's (nice)!  Still having problems determining if there will be any thunderstorms with this next cold front. NWS has put a slight chance for thunderstorms on Wednesday and Wednesday night but with this somewhat storng cold front I think we should have a severe weather outbreak. I wish....  So does anybody have any thoughts on this next cold front?